Upset Report








Welcome


We will post our picks for each 2009 NFL game by Wednesday of each week.

Picks for the 2009 Regular Season, Week 5

The Opening Line numbers are relative to the home teams. A negative number indicates the visiting team is favored.

The upset picks for the 2009 Regular Season, Week 5 [based on money lines] are Houston, Washington and Denver.
Home Opening Visitor Our Picks By Money O/U
line Line
Arizona 5 Houston Houston 5 +190 50
Baltimore 9 Cincinnati Baltimore 3 -380 40
Buffalo 6 Cleveland Buffalo 12 -260 47
Carolina 5.5 Washington Washington 13 +170 37
Denver -3.5 New England Denver 18 +150 36
Detroit -12 Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 12 -550 47
Kansas City -9 Dallas Dallas 12 -380 51
N.Y. Giants 15 Oakland N.Y. Giants 15 -1000 38
Philadelphia . Tampa Bay Philadelphia 16 -1100 33
San Francisco 0 Atlanta San Francisco 10 -135 43
Seattle . Jacksonville Jacksonville 8 off 47
St. Louis . Minnesota Minnesota 21 -500 37
Tennessee -3 Indianapolis Indianapolis 21 -200 47
Miami -2.5 N.Y. Jets N.Y. Jets 10 -125 33
Talking points for Week: All 3 upset picks are by a significant margins this week. The Houston pick over Arizona seems out of line with Arizona favored by 5.5 but our stats are firmly in favor of Houston.


Week to Week Totals for 2009

To see expanded data go to each week's page through the '2009 Data' link above.

Week# Money Line Straight UP Against The Spread
1 -100 11 Wins, 5 Losses, [68.8%] 9 Wins, 7 Losses, 0 Pushes, [56.3%]
2 585 11 Wins, 5 Losses, [68.8%] 9 Wins, 7 Losses, 0 Pushes, [56.3%]
3 295 13 Wins, 3 Losses, [81.3%] 12 Wins, 4 Losses, 0 Pushes, [75%]
4 180 12 Wins, 2 Losses, [85.7%] 7 Wins, 6 Losses, 1 Pushes, [53.8%]
5 -150 7 Wins, 7 Losses, [50%] 6 Wins, 8 Losses, 0 Pushes, [42.9%]
Totals $810 54 Wins, 22 Losses, [71.1%] 43 Wins, 32 Losses, 1 Pushes, [57.3%]
# of Bets Amount Wagered Payout Profit
4 $400 $250 $-150