Upset Report








Welcome


We will post our picks for each 2008 NFL game by Wednesday of each week.

Picks for the 2009 Regular Season, Week 4

The Opening Line numbers are relative to the home teams. A negative number indicates the visiting team is favored.

The upset picks for the 2009 Regular Season, Week 4 [based on money lines] are Denver, Jacksonville and Baltimore.
Home Opening Visitor Our Picks By Money O/U
line Line
Chicago 12 Detroit Chicago 8 -450 41
Cleveland -4 Cincinnati Cincinnati 15 -270 37
Denver . Dallas Denver 7 +155 43
Houston 9.5 Oakland Houston 4 -500 41
Indianapolis . Seattle Indianapolis 6 -500
Jacksonville -1 Tennessee Jacksonville 1 +125 41
Kansas City -9 N.Y. Giants N.Y. Giants 12 -450 41
Miami 1.5 Buffalo Buffalo 3 -125 40
New England 3 Baltimore Baltimore 14 +105 40
New Orleans 6.5 N.Y. Jets New Orleans 2 -300 47
Pittsburgh 5 San Diego Pittsburgh 1 -300 43
San Francisco 10 St. Louis San Francisco 23 -450 37
Washington 6.5 Tampa Bay Washington 9 -330 33
Minnesota 3 Green Bay Minnesota 0.5 -175 50
Talking points for Week 4: Denver would be the pick regardless of injuries, but with the loss of the Dallas running back Denver becomes a more solid pick. Baltimore by 14 seems way out of line but that is what our numbers show, and we are sticking to it. Minnesota and Green Bay are evenly matched, the home field moves our pick to Minnesota.



Week to Week Totals for 2009

To see expanded data go to each week's page through the '2009 Data' link above.

Week# Money Line Straight UP Against The Spread
1 -100 11 Wins, 5 Losses, [68.8%] 9 Wins, 7 Losses, 0 Pushes, [56.3%]
2 585 11 Wins, 5 Losses, [68.8%] 9 Wins, 7 Losses, 0 Pushes, [56.3%]
3 295 13 Wins, 3 Losses, [81.3%] 12 Wins, 4 Losses, 0 Pushes, [75%]
4 180 12 Wins, 2 Losses, [85.7%] 7 Wins, 6 Losses, 1 Push, [53.8%]