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We will post our picks for each 2008 NFL game by Wednesday of each week.
Picks for the 2009 Regular Season, Week 4
The Opening Line numbers are relative to the home teams. A negative number indicates the visiting team is favored.
The upset picks for the 2009 Regular Season, Week 4 [based on money lines] are Denver, Jacksonville and Baltimore.
| Home | Opening | Visitor | Our Picks | By | Money | O/U |
| line | | | | Line | |
| | | | | | |
| Chicago | 12 | Detroit | Chicago | 8 | -450 | 41 |
| Cleveland | -4 | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | 15 | -270 | 37 |
| Denver | . | Dallas | Denver | 7 | +155 | 43 |
| Houston | 9.5 | Oakland | Houston | 4 | -500 | 41 |
| Indianapolis | . | Seattle | Indianapolis | 6 | -500 | |
| Jacksonville | -1 | Tennessee | Jacksonville | 1 | +125 | 41 |
| Kansas City | -9 | N.Y. Giants | N.Y. Giants | 12 | -450 | 41 |
| Miami | 1.5 | Buffalo | Buffalo | 3 | -125 | 40 |
| New England | 3 | Baltimore | Baltimore | 14 | +105 | 40 |
| New Orleans | 6.5 | N.Y. Jets | New Orleans | 2 | -300 | 47 |
| Pittsburgh | 5 | San Diego | Pittsburgh | 1 | -300 | 43 |
| San Francisco | 10 | St. Louis | San Francisco | 23 | -450 | 37 |
| Washington | 6.5 | Tampa Bay | Washington | 9 | -330 | 33 |
| Minnesota | 3 | Green Bay | Minnesota | 0.5 | -175 | 50 |
| | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
Talking points for Week 4:
Denver would be the pick regardless of injuries, but with the loss of the Dallas running back Denver becomes a more solid pick.
Baltimore by 14 seems way out of line but that is what our numbers show, and we are sticking to it.
Minnesota and Green Bay are evenly matched, the home field moves our pick to Minnesota.
Week to Week Totals for 2009
To see expanded data go to each week's page through the '2009 Data' link
above.
| Week# | Money Line | Straight UP | Against The Spread |
| 1 | -100 | 11 Wins, 5 Losses, [68.8%] | 9 Wins, 7 Losses, 0 Pushes, [56.3%] |
| 2 | 585 | 11 Wins, 5 Losses, [68.8%] | 9 Wins, 7 Losses, 0 Pushes, [56.3%] |
| 3 | 295 | 13 Wins, 3 Losses, [81.3%] | 12 Wins, 4 Losses, 0 Pushes, [75%] |
| 4 | 180 | 12 Wins, 2 Losses, [85.7%] | 7 Wins, 6 Losses, 1 Push, [53.8%] |